Why is chemical accuracy defined as 1 kcal/mol?

Question

"Chemical accuracy" in computational chemistry, is commonly understood to be 1 kcalmol$1\frac{\mathrm{k}\mathrm{c}\mathrm{a}\mathrm{l}}{\mathrm{m}\mathrm{o}\mathrm{l}}$, or about 4 kJmol$4\frac{\mathrm{k}\mathrm{J}}{\mathrm{m}\mathrm{o}\mathrm{l}}$. Spectroscopic accuracy is 1 kJmol$1\frac{\mathrm{k}\mathrm{J}}{\mathrm{m}\mathrm{o}\mathrm{l}}$, and that definition has intuitive sense. However, where does the 1 kcalmol$1\frac{\mathrm{k}\mathrm{c}\mathrm{a}\mathrm{l}}{\mathrm{m}\mathrm{o}\mathrm{l}}$ quantity come from?

From Wikipedia:

A particularly important objective, called computational thermochemistry, is to calculate thermochemical quantities such as the enthalpy of formation to chemical accuracy. Chemical accuracy is the accuracy required to make realistic chemical predictions and is generally considered to be 1 kcal/mol or 4 kJ/mol.

Answer 1

Short answer: the goal of "thermochemical accuracy" for computational chemistry is to match or exceed experimental accuracy. Thus, ~1 kcal/mol comes from the typical error in thermochemical experiments.

The drive began with John Pople, who begin the modern effort to consider "Model Chemistries," comparing the accuracy of different methods across many molecules and often multiple properties. He realized that for thermodynamic properties, one could approach the accuracy of experiments. (See, for example his Nobel lecture).

As the model becomes quantitative, the target should be that data is reproduced and predicted within experimental accuracy. For energies, such as heats of formation or ionization potentials, a global accuracy of 1 kcal/mole would be appropriate.

He then started work on composite methods like G1, G2, G3, etc. that could approach predicting many chemical properties to this accuracy.

Answer 2

Certainly experimental accuracy is a major factor. However, another argument for this rule of thumb is that at room temperature, a difference in free energy of 1.4 kca/mol results in a equilibrium/rate constant with a relative change of ~10. Therefore, in order to be within an order of magnitude of experiment, you need to have an accuracy of ~1 kcal/mol.